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Thursday, May 12, 2005

Update: Action: Nvidia Straddle

NVDA implied volatility will probably fall down to around 50% after issuing the earnings news.

Nvidia has to jump at least over $24.25 (+7.30%) or fall at least below $20.60 (-8.85%) after earnings result to get profit from this trade, if the implied volatility is 50%.

Analyst estimates for NVDA Q1 2005 results are the following (based on Yahoo! Finance: Analyst Estimates):
earnings $0.28 ($0.27–$0.31)
revenue $581.19M ($572.10M–$597.00M)

and for the next quarter:
earnings $0.27 ($0.22–$0.34)
revenue $579.16M ($537.00M–$616.30M)

The earnings conference call is scheduled on Thu, May 12, 2005, 5:00 pm Eastern: Yahoo! Finance: NVIDIA Corporation Earnings Conference Call (Q1 2005)

See also:
Action: Nvidia Straddle


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