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Wednesday, June 29, 2005

Update: Is Google the next eBay?

The Internet Stock Blog has the following comment on my Google post where I speculated that Google might be the next eBay and have a sharp cut in the price of its shares:
Quick comment: eBay's stock decline was accompanied by a clear shift in sentiment: newspaper articles about eBay sellers setting up their own sites, claims of market share gains from Overstock.com, and slowing revenue growth in its core market. So far none of those things apply to Google.
This is pretty much what I wanted to say. While Google introduces new services and manages to be inline with earnings, it's OK, but the first mistake would bring upon a slump. I see the chart turning ugly if it happens. So far, Google has enjoyed only positive sentiment from investors (just look at the target risings from analysts). If this sentiment vanishes, there is no easy landing for Google. I am not saying that this happens on the next quarter's results, so the price may go much higher from current levels. But I would just be careful if buying before the earnings news. Securing your long position with a few puts before earnings release may not be a bad idea.

Read the comment:
The Internet Stock Blog: Internet news/anaysis in brief (EBAY, GOOG, IACI, INSP, NFLX, OSTK, TSG, TZOO)

See also the original post:
Is Google the next eBay?

5 Comments:

Anonymous Penny Stock Investing said...

I don't believe that google is the next ebay. The two companies are totally different.

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