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Friday, July 29, 2005

Market Anomalies

RoboTrader writes about well known (plus some not so well known) market anomalies:
"The Efficient Market Hypothesis on Trial: A Survey", by Philip S. Russel and Violet M. Torbey, contains references to interesting research and commentary on:

The January Effect. "...higher mean returns in January as compared to other month...support a tax-loss selling explanation of the effect."

Other Seasonal Effects, e.g., holiday and turn of the month effects. "US stock returns are significantly higher at the turn of the month, defined as the last and first three trading days of the month...returns are, on average, higher the day before a holiday
Read further:
RoboTrader: Market Anomalies

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Anonymous Value stocks under 4 Dollars said...

Everybody buys the very most popular stocks. If you do this you are doomed to get only average returns over time. Why not focus on really decent companies that are extremely undervalued instead. I bought a stock called seaboard corporation About 8 or 10 maybe 11 years age something like that and paid 190 dollars a share. I sold my shares about 5 years later for 2500 hundred dollars. The company was profitable when I bought it and profitable when I sold my shares. Bear in mind I would not say something that I cannot back up believe me. I will give an example of a company of really decent quality that I consider really undervalued. The company is Bunge Limited trading symbol {BG} engages in the agriculture and food businesses worldwide. The stock currently trades around 59 dollars a share. I think the stock could easily get to 450 dollars a share over the next five years. Yes you heard it right four hundred and fifty dollars a share. Assuming their are not stock splits. And what do I base this on If the companies profit margain expands from around 1.75% to 4% over the next five years and if the sales of the company expand from 55 billion to 85 billion thats growth of about 7 or 8 percent a year and if the companies stock than trades at a price earnings ratio of about 20. That would put the price of the stock at 450 dollars a share. It could even be more than 450 dollars a share if you reinvest your dividends the company pays a dividend also if the company does a share buyback this could increase the value of the stock even more. Keep in mind that their are stocks that are popular that trade at much higher price earnings ratios than 20 times earnings one example is whole foods market it currently trades at 35 times earnings. Also keep in mind that bunge is a company of really decent quality not at all a high risk stock. It has the potential to leave a company like proter and gamble in the dust. I understand your skepticsm if you are reading this but go to any stock broker or financial planner CPA that knows how to value stocks and they will confirm everything that Im saying here.

12/07/2011 01:31:00 PM  

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